Post vs Mannswörth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
WIE
1 - 4
POS
40%
24%
35%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
POS
0 - 2
GER
40%
25%
35%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
POS
0 - 2
ADM
44%
24%
32%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SIM
0 - 1
POS
13%
20%
67%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POS
2 - 1
ELE
12%
19%
69%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | +4 |
Matches
Mannswörth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 3
SIM
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ELE
3 - 3
MAN
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 0
DON
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TEA
1 - 1
MAN
70%
18%
13%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
FAV
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |