Post vs Mannswörth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
TEA
3 - 0
POS
57%
23%
21%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
POS
1 - 1
DON
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
GER
1 - 0
POS
27%
24%
49%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
GER
0 - 0
POS
31%
24%
45%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
POS
0 - 1
FAV
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Mannswörth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 1
BIH
24%
23%
53%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
REN
5 - 1
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
WIE
1 - 0
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
TEA
2 - 0
MAN
75%
16%
9%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
DON
50%
23%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |