Post vs First Vienna II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
POS
7 - 2
SCF
81%
13%
5%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
STA
1 - 1
POS
57%
22%
20%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
POS
3 - 2
SSH
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
POS
52%
23%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ADM
0 - 1
POS
26%
25%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
First Vienna II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SCW
5 - 2
FIR
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
FIR
4 - 0
DON
18%
21%
60%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +3 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
GER
1 - 0
FIR
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FIR
3 - 1
FOR
37%
23%
40%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FIR
0 - 2
FAV
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |