Post vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
STA
1 - 0
POS
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
POS
22%
24%
55%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
POS
1 - 1
NAC
38%
25%
38%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
WIE
1 - 2
POS
20%
24%
56%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
POS
1 - 0
FAV
58%
22%
20%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 2
NAC
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
WIE
0 - 2
FOR
33%
25%
42%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 0
FAV
40%
23%
37%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
TEA
2 - 0
FOR
70%
18%
12%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 4
DON
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |