Post vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
64.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2018 |
POS
0 - 3
MAN
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2018 |
ELE
1 - 0
POS
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
POS
1 - 4
DON
66%
19%
15%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
POS
0 - 1
OST
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
SKS
1 - 0
POS
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
AUS
3 - 2
DON
32%
23%
44%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
DON
5 - 2
WIE
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
TAD
1 - 1
DON
34%
22%
44%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
DON
4 - 1
GER
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
DON
4 - 1
SPO
82%
11%
7%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |