Post vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
63%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
MAN
3 - 3
POS
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2015 |
POS
1 - 3
WIE
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
GER
1 - 1
POS
70%
18%
13%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
POS
0 - 0
ASV
63%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
ADM
3 - 0
POS
68%
18%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2015 |
DON
2 - 2
STP
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
AUS
5 - 0
DON
61%
21%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
DON
0 - 3
WIE
57%
21%
23%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
VIE
3 - 1
DON
70%
18%
12%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
DON
4 - 2
ADM
33%
25%
42%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +3 |