Post vs Donau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 0
POS
64%
20%
17%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
POS
2 - 1
FAV
39%
25%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SCW
2 - 2
POS
50%
21%
29%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
POS
1 - 1
GER
43%
26%
31%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
STA
6 - 0
POS
74%
17%
9%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Donau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DON
1 - 1
SIM
22%
24%
53%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ELE
2 - 0
DON
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ADM
2 - 0
DON
80%
14%
7%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
DON
0 - 2
TEA
20%
23%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
FAV
3 - 1
DON
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |