Post vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
WIE
4 - 0
POS
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
POS
4 - 0
TAD
80%
12%
7%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2017 |
GER
2 - 2
POS
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
POS
1 - 2
GER
72%
17%
11%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
DON
0 - 0
POS
70%
17%
14%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 2
OST
55%
22%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
2 - 2
TEA
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
AUS
3 - 1
SPO
66%
18%
17%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DON
1 - 5
AUS
25%
24%
51%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
WIE
2 - 0
AUS
60%
20%
20%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |