Post vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
22.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
GER
1 - 1
POS
40%
25%
35%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
POS
1 - 2
TEA
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
POS
1 - 1
GER
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
POS
3 - 0
AUS
48%
23%
29%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
OST
4 - 3
POS
64%
21%
15%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 2
FOR
59%
21%
21%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SCW
3 - 0
AUS
79%
14%
8%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
FOR
4 - 4
AUS
47%
22%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
POS
3 - 0
AUS
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 2
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |