Post vs Austria XIII analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
OST
4 - 3
POS
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
SKS
2 - 1
POS
19%
23%
58%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
POS
5 - 1
LAC
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ADM
1 - 1
POS
30%
26%
44%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
POS
4 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Austria XIII
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 2
NAC
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 0
STA
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
WIE
3 - 3
AUS
19%
22%
60%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
AUS
1 - 1
FAV
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
TEA
2 - 1
AUS
49%
23%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |