Post Wien vs LASK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
75.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
11.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Post Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
PWJ
1 - 2
WEI
18%
22%
60%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
LASK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
LAS
4 - 0
KAP
51%
23%
26%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
RBS
3 - 2
LAS
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2009 |
LAS
4 - 5
AUS
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2009 |
LAS
4 - 0
MAT
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
MAT
3 - 1
LAS
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |