El Porvenir vs Victoriano Arenas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 0
POR
71%
20%
10%
|
20 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
LUJ
20%
26%
54%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
POR
67%
20%
13%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
POR
2 - 3
CAA
19%
24%
57%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIC
3 - 1
POR
71%
17%
11%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Victoriano Arenas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
VIC
1 - 0
SMA
50%
24%
26%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
CCO
3 - 1
VIC
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 2
SMA
53%
23%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ITA
1 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
18%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIC
3 - 1
POR
71%
17%
11%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |