El Porvenir vs Real Pilar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
53%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2021 |
CLA
0 - 1
POR
66%
21%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
POR
2 - 4
LAF
27%
25%
49%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | -2 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 0
POR
64%
22%
14%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
ITU
24%
27%
49%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +3 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
RPI
1 - 0
ESP
64%
21%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
LUJ
0 - 0
RPI
31%
27%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
RPI
2 - 0
MID
61%
22%
17%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
CAA
1 - 1
RPI
47%
27%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RPI
2 - 1
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |