El Porvenir vs Luján analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
MER
3 - 2
POR
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
LAF
37%
26%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
CCO
2 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 0
BER
47%
25%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MID
2 - 1
POR
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luján
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
LUJ
1 - 2
ALE
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
ARM
0 - 0
LUJ
52%
24%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
LUJ
2 - 2
ITA
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2019 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
LUJ
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2019 |
LUJ
3 - 0
ESP
29%
26%
46%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |