El Porvenir vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
50.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 Feb. 2018 |
LAF
1 - 1
POR
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
02 Feb. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
SMA
36%
27%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
28 Jan. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
JJU
22%
26%
52%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
09 Dec. 2017 |
ARM
0 - 0
POR
54%
27%
20%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
06 Dec. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
MER
27%
28%
45%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 Feb. 2018 |
ALE
0 - 1
LUJ
50%
29%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
05 Feb. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 5
ALE
26%
29%
45%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |
26 Jan. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
ALE
36%
29%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
11 Dec. 2017 |
ALE
0 - 0
CCO
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
06 Dec. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 2
ALE
45%
27%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |