El Porvenir vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
13.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CLA
0 - 2
POR
21%
27%
53%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
LAM
71%
18%
10%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
2 - 0
POR
22%
27%
51%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
POR
2 - 0
PUE
58%
22%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 2016 |
CBA
0 - 0
POR
32%
27%
41%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 2
ARR
57%
24%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 0
ALE
48%
27%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2016 |
ALE
4 - 0
YUP
44%
27%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
JUU
1 - 0
ALE
62%
23%
15%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Mar. 2016 |
ALE
1 - 0
CLA
70%
19%
11%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | +3 |