El Porvenir vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
40.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CAÑ
2 - 0
POR
44%
29%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2014 |
POR
1 - 3
CLA
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -3 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
VIC
40%
27%
33%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
DPA
0 - 0
POR
27%
26%
46%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2014 |
POR
0 - 1
CES
52%
25%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
CAÑ
57%
25%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 2
CAÑ
61%
24%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 05 May. 2014 |
CLA
0 - 1
ALE
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 0
RIE
29%
28%
44%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2014 |
LUG
1 - 1
ALE
29%
29%
41%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |