El Porvenir vs Leandro Nicéforo Alem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SBA
2 - 0
POR
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 2
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2013 |
POR
0 - 0
MUÑ
45%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VIC
0 - 0
POR
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
44%
27%
28%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Leandro Nicéforo Alem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
ALE
2 - 0
DPA
72%
19%
9%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CES
0 - 1
ALE
44%
27%
29%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 0
CBA
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2013 |
CAA
3 - 0
ALE
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
ALE
26%
29%
45%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |