El Porvenir vs Ituzaingó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
49.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ARM
2 - 0
POR
66%
20%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
POR
3 - 0
ALE
31%
26%
43%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +3 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
BER
3 - 1
POR
70%
19%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
EXC
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CCO
2 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ituzaingó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ITU
1 - 0
ESP
60%
23%
17%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
LUJ
0 - 1
ITU
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
ITU
2 - 1
MID
46%
26%
29%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 0
ITU
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
VIC
52%
25%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |