El Porvenir vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+107%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
CCO
2 - 0
POR
68%
20%
12%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 0
SMA
24%
26%
50%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
72%
18%
10%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ESP
23%
24%
53%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LUJ
2 - 1
POR
72%
19%
10%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
EXC
1 - 0
ESP
57%
22%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
LUJ
1 - 3
EXC
48%
25%
27%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 4
MID
45%
24%
31%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
CAA
3 - 0
EXC
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
EXC
3 - 0
VIC
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |