El Porvenir vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
40.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+74%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ALE
2 - 0
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2018 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAÑ
3 - 2
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -3 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
MID
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
SMA
1 - 3
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
CCO
2 - 0
EXC
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 0
BER
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VIC
2 - 2
EXC
61%
21%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
VSC
47%
26%
27%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 1
ALE
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -2 |