El Porvenir vs Excursionistas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
CAÑ
1 - 2
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
BER
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
POR
0 - 2
SBA
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LUJ
0 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
POR
4 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Excursionistas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
2 - 1
LUJ
39%
29%
31%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
EXC
27%
26%
47%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
0 - 0
ITU
45%
27%
29%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
CCO
1 - 0
EXC
57%
24%
19%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
EXC
1 - 2
CAD
34%
28%
38%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |