El Porvenir vs Dep. Muñiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
POR
51%
25%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
YUP
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2015 |
POR
3 - 1
CLA
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dep. Muñiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2015 |
MUÑ
0 - 0
DPA
26%
26%
48%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 1
MUÑ
57%
24%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
VIC
0 - 2
MUÑ
63%
22%
15%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2015 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
ARR
42%
26%
32%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
MUÑ
50%
26%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |