El Porvenir vs Laferrere analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
JJU
1 - 2
POR
37%
28%
36%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
DOC
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
BER
0 - 2
POR
35%
28%
37%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
SBA
41%
26%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
ARM
1 - 1
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Laferrere
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2017 |
LAF
0 - 1
ARQ
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2017 |
ITA
4 - 0
LAF
64%
22%
15%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
LAF
1 - 1
CAD
41%
26%
34%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 Mar. 2017 |
MER
3 - 1
LAF
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
LAF
2 - 0
LUJ
61%
23%
16%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +2 |