El Porvenir vs Defensores de Cambaceres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
6º
3º
33
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2023 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
CBA
69%
19%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
CES
0 - 2
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
MUÑ
27%
26%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
ARR
1 - 0
POR
54%
26%
21%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Defensores de Cambaceres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
JUU
3 - 0
CAM
21%
23%
56%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CAM
2 - 1
LUG
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 1
CAM
16%
22%
63%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
CES
67%
20%
14%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MUÑ
0 - 1
CAM
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |