Primera D Metro. Semi-finals
Global 0-1
El Porvenir vs Liniers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+95%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
VIC
77%
16%
7%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
DPA
2 - 2
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MUÑ
0 - 0
POR
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
ARR
70%
19%
11%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Liniers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
3 - 2
DPA
55%
24%
21%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
3 - 2
LIN
34%
27%
39%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
4 - 1
MUÑ
62%
22%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
LIN
35%
26%
39%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 0
CES
84%
12%
4%
|
31 | 14 | 17 | -1 |