El Porvenir vs Centro Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
POR
1 - 0
MUÑ
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
POR
51%
25%
25%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2015 |
ALE
0 - 1
POR
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
POR
0 - 2
YUP
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2015 |
ITU
1 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Centro Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
CAA
5 - 1
CES
78%
16%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
LIN
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
DPA
21%
26%
53%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2015 |
LUG
4 - 1
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
MUÑ
50%
26%
24%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |