El Porvenir vs Central Ballester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 2
POR
39%
27%
35%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
POR
4 - 0
LUG
65%
21%
14%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
ALE
0 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
CAÑ
42%
27%
31%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2014 |
CLA
1 - 0
POR
50%
26%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Central Ballester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CBA
0 - 0
ALE
36%
27%
37%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
CAÑ
0 - 2
CBA
64%
23%
13%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CBA
2 - 1
CLA
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
SBA
7 - 0
CBA
66%
20%
14%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CBA
2 - 1
YUP
49%
24%
27%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | +1 |