El Porvenir vs Cañuelas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
15.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
CLA
2 - 1
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
POR
0 - 2
JUU
53%
25%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
POR
1 - 2
RIE
37%
28%
35%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
SMG
1 - 0
POR
33%
28%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
YUP
65%
21%
14%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Cañuelas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CES
1 - 3
CAÑ
60%
24%
16%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
CBA
45%
28%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
CAA
0 - 3
CAÑ
70%
20%
10%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAÑ
64%
22%
14%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
CAÑ
1 - 0
CLA
32%
29%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |