El Porvenir vs Berazategui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
EXC
2 - 1
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
POR
0 - 2
CCO
34%
28%
39%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 2
POR
60%
22%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ITA
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Berazategui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BER
2 - 1
ESP
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
LUJ
1 - 2
BER
53%
25%
22%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BER
1 - 0
MID
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 0
BER
64%
20%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BER
3 - 3
VIC
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |