El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
6º
3º
25
1º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
CBA
0 - 3
POR
31%
26%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
POR
0 - 0
MER
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ARR
2 - 2
POR
58%
26%
17%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
JUU
58%
23%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
DPA
0 - 0
POR
35%
27%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
SBA
0 - 4
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
MUÑ
2 - 0
SBA
36%
27%
36%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
SBA
3 - 2
LUG
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
CBA
1 - 0
SBA
17%
24%
59%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
SBA
1 - 1
MER
53%
22%
25%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |