El Porvenir vs Sportivo Barracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
LUJ
0 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
POR
4 - 1
ITA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
1 - 3
POR
59%
24%
17%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
CCO
29%
29%
42%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
CAD
2 - 0
POR
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sportivo Barracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
SBA
1 - 2
ALE
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
LUJ
0 - 1
SBA
64%
22%
15%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2018 |
SBA
1 - 2
LAF
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SBA
40%
26%
34%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
SBA
0 - 2
SMA
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -1 |