Paulista A2 Etapas Finales Quarter-finals
Global 1-2
Portuguesa Santista vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OES
1 - 1
POR
52%
26%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
XVD
28%
26%
45%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 4
NOR
40%
26%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 1
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 1
POR
77%
16%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
VEL
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
XVD
28%
26%
45%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
COM
67%
21%
13%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
XVD
1 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 2
XVD
24%
26%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |