Portuguesa Santista vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
POR
1 - 2
AGU
46%
27%
28%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
PEN
1 - 2
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
POR
42%
28%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
RIO
1 - 0
POR
45%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
LIN
0 - 2
POR
39%
26%
36%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SER
1 - 1
XVD
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
XVD
1 - 0
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
AGU
2 - 0
XVD
21%
25%
55%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
XVD
0 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
20%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2019 |
XVD
2 - 0
POR
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |