Portuguesa Santista vs Taubaté analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 0
POR
32%
28%
41%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
POR
44%
26%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
POR
1 - 0
SAO
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
XVD
0 - 1
POR
65%
22%
13%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
XVD
21%
24%
55%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Taubaté
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 1
XVD
13%
21%
66%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PRI
1 - 1
TAU
47%
26%
26%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 3
NOV
13%
20%
67%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
TAU
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
OES
0 - 0
TAU
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |