Paulista A3 Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Portuguesa Santista vs São Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
POR
3 - 1
TAB
51%
26%
24%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
DES
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
1 - 2
POR
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
VEL
0 - 0
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 4
CAP
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
SAO
17%
24%
60%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 0
GRE
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |