Portuguesa Santista vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
43%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
ATI
2 - 1
POR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
POR
1 - 1
BAR
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 4
ATI
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 0
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
AUD
1 - 0
NAC
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 2
TAB
73%
18%
10%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
NAC
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |