Portuguesa Santista vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
TAU
2 - 1
POR
28%
27%
46%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
0 - 2
POR
16%
21%
63%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 2
VEL
35%
26%
38%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
LIN
0 - 0
POR
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
COM
2 - 1
POR
34%
27%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 3
PRI
38%
28%
35%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RIO
2 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 1
VEL
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
PPE
3 - 0
MON
82%
14%
5%
|
47 | 69 | 22 | -1 |