Portuguesa Santista vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
24.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
POR
2 - 2
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
56%
26%
19%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
ATI
36%
27%
38%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 1
POR
59%
24%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
POR
2 - 0
COM
25%
26%
49%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
CAT
3 - 2
IND
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
DES
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
IND
3 - 1
MON
31%
26%
43%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 2
IND
43%
27%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
IND
1 - 3
SJS
44%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |