Paulista A3 Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Portuguesa Santista vs Barretos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
POR
2 - 1
SAO
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
2 - 2
POR
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
POR
3 - 1
TAB
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Barretos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
DES
2 - 3
BAR
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
DES
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
DES
1 - 0
BAR
40%
27%
34%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |