Cup Paulista Last 16
Global 3-2
Portuguesa Santista vs Audax São Paulo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa Santista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
AAP
0 - 0
POR
11%
17%
71%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
JUV
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
JUV
0 - 2
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Audax São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
2 - 1
POR
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
INT
0 - 3
AUD
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
1 - 2
XVD
21%
24%
56%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2020 |
AUD
0 - 1
PRI
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
PRI
0 - 0
AUD
18%
23%
59%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |