Rio Cup Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Portuguesa RJ vs Serrano FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.6%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
4.5%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
DUQ
83%
12%
4%
|
65 | 38 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
DUQ
1 - 2
POR
12%
23%
65%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
POR
2 - 2
SAM
78%
16%
7%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
POR
0 - 1
CAX
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
SAM
0 - 1
POR
23%
26%
52%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Serrano FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
2 - 0
FRI
43%
27%
30%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
PET
0 - 1
SFC
58%
24%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
SFC
1 - 2
PET
22%
26%
53%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
CIG
1 - 4
SFC
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | +1 |