Portuguesa RJ vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
PAR
52%
27%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
NOV
0 - 2
POR
39%
30%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
POR
1 - 0
SAN
46%
28%
26%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CIA
1 - 1
POR
35%
31%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
POR
0 - 0
CIA
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
PER
0 - 1
NOV
27%
28%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
PER
55%
25%
19%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 0
PER
59%
25%
16%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
PER
2 - 2
OES
24%
27%
50%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
OES
0 - 1
PER
62%
23%
15%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +1 |