Portuguesa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
0 - 0
POR
14%
23%
63%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VOL
1 - 1
POR
62%
21%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 0
AUD
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
BOA
2 - 2
POR
19%
25%
56%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
POR
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
AUD
1 - 2
NOV
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 1
BOA
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
MAD
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOV
84%
12%
4%
|
54 | 90 | 36 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
NOV
2 - 0
VAS
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 83 | 31 | +2 |