Portuguesa RJ vs Nova Iguaçu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
33.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+71%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
AME
1 - 1
POR
54%
24%
22%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
FRI
0 - 2
POR
45%
26%
29%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
AME
37%
27%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2019 |
POR
0 - 1
BON
28%
26%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
BON
0 - 0
POR
55%
25%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nova Iguaçu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
NOV
1 - 2
AME
46%
26%
28%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 0
NOV
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 0
FRI
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 4
NOV
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
AME
0 - 1
NOV
57%
23%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |