Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 1-3
Portuguesa RJ vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
55.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
17.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.3%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
46%
30%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
RES
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
RES
1 - 0
POR
25%
26%
48%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
POR
2 - 0
SAM
27%
26%
47%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
VOL
39%
25%
35%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
COR
3 - 0
AVA
75%
18%
8%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
CAL
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOT
1 - 3
COR
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
REA
2 - 0
COR
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
2 - 1
COR
56%
25%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |