Rio Cup Eliminatorias Last 16
Global 3-4
Portuguesa RJ vs Maricá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 2
POR
16%
21%
63%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
3 - 1
POR
57%
26%
17%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POR
1 - 3
GRE
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POR
2 - 0
MIX
79%
16%
5%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MIX
0 - 0
POR
16%
27%
57%
|
67 | 42 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Maricá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
0 - 0
OLA
35%
24%
41%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 2
POR
16%
21%
63%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
OLA
1 - 1
CMA
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
4 - 3
AUD
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
CMA
2 - 0
DUQ
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |