Portuguesa RJ vs Bonsucesso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
25.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAD
2 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 2
POR
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 5
FLA
8%
18%
74%
|
50 | 81 | 31 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
POR
76%
17%
7%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
POR
3 - 2
TIG
54%
27%
20%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bonsucesso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
BON
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
BON
0 - 3
BAN
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2016 |
CAB
3 - 1
BON
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
FLU
4 - 0
BON
85%
12%
3%
|
48 | 80 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BON
0 - 2
RES
31%
28%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |