Portuguesa RJ vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
FRI
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
FRI
3 - 0
POR
34%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
POR
1 - 2
AME
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
AME
0 - 1
POR
42%
25%
34%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
FLA
4 - 0
POR
84%
12%
4%
|
50 | 85 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
RES
1 - 0
AME
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 2
AME
35%
25%
40%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
AME
2 - 1
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2018 |
GOY
1 - 1
AME
32%
27%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
AME
1 - 0
AME
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |