Portuguesa FC vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
POR
4 - 0
MEL
38%
24%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
POR
1 - 0
SPC
41%
24%
35%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
2 - 0
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
BVS
4 - 0
POR
72%
17%
12%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1981 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
POR
83%
11%
6%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
0 - 1
SPC
39%
24%
38%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
1 - 0
MEL
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1984 |
ULA
2 - 0
POR
48%
22%
30%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |